In the folk calendar, November 19 is the day of remembrance of St. Paul the Confessor.
It was believed that it was at this time that frost finally covered reservoirs with ice.
At this time, the ancestors carefully observed weather phenomena and made forecasts for the winter.
If by November 19 the river was covered with smooth ice, it promised a rich harvest next year.
This observation gave hope for prosperity in the household.
Snow falling on this day predicted a snowy winter. And if the day passed in silence and without wind, then a sharp cold snap was expected.
The scarlet dawn spoke of imminent rain or snowfall. The red sky in the evening promised damp and cloudy weather.
The starry sky indicated the approach of frost, and its absence promised snow.